Supplementary Exercise 6.95 of IPS7e ------------------------------------ Measurements of radon concentrations by radon detectors placed in a test chamber. The true concentration is known to be 105 pCi/l, so the purpose of the experiment is to test the accuracy of the detectors. Let X_1,...,X_12 denote the 12 measurements. We assume that the observations are i.i.d. (independent and identically distributed) with mean mu and standard deviation sigma. We also assume (unrealistically) that sigma is known to be 9. The average of X's (Xmean) 104.133. (a) 95% confidence interval for the mean reading in the chamber: Xmean +- 1.96*sigma/sqrt(n) = 104.133 +- 1.96*9/sqrt(12) = 104.133 +- 5.092 = (99.0 , 109.2) (b) Hypothesis H0: mu=105, alternative hypothesis Ha: mu <> 105. The z-statistic for H0 against Ha is significant at the 5% level, if a 95% two-sided confidence interval for mu DOES NOT include 105. The interval from (a) however easily includes 105, so there is no significant evidence against the true value being 105. As shown by the Minitab output below, the P-value is 0.74. Note that the population studied consists of detectors of the given type placed in the same chamber (possibly extendable to another environment with the same radon concentration). As a final remark, the 12 observations do seem to correspond reasonably well to a normal distribution, despite some right-skewness (as evaluated by stem plot, probability plot and normality test), so that there is no need to worry about the normality of Xmean. --- Minitab commands and output: MTB > WOpen "H:\VHM\VHM801\Datasets\Minitab\Chapter 6\ex06_095.mtw". Retrieving worksheet from file: 'H:\VHM\VHM801\Datasets\Minitab\Chapter 6\ex06_095.mtw' Worksheet was saved on 02/10/2014 MTB > Describe 'radon'; SUBC> Mean; SUBC> SEMean; SUBC> StDeviation; SUBC> QOne; SUBC> Median; SUBC> QThree; SUBC> Minimum; SUBC> Maximum; SUBC> Skewness; SUBC> Kurtosis; SUBC> N; SUBC> NMissing. Descriptive Statistics: radon Variable N N* Mean SE Mean StDev Minimum Q1 Median Q3 radon 12 0 104.13 2.71 9.40 91.90 96.90 102.75 109.90 Variable Maximum Skewness Kurtosis radon 122.30 0.85 -0.01 MTB > Stem-and-Leaf 'radon'; SUBC> Trim. Stem-and-Leaf Display: radon Stem-and-leaf of radon N = 12 Leaf Unit = 1.0 1 9 1 5 9 5679 (3) 10 134 4 10 5 3 11 1 2 11 9 1 12 2 MTB > PPlot 'radon'; SUBC> Normal; SUBC> Symbol; SUBC> FitD; SUBC> Grid 2; SUBC> Grid 1; SUBC> MGrid 1. Probability Plot of radon The P-value for the Anderson-Darling test is 0.311. MTB > OneZ 'radon'; SUBC> Sigma 9; SUBC> Test 105; SUBC> Confidence 95.0; SUBC> Alternative 0. One-Sample Z: radon Test of mu = 105 vs not = 105 The assumed standard deviation = 9 Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 95% CI Z P radon 12 104.13 9.40 2.60 (99.04, 109.23) -0.33 0.739