Supplementary Exercise 4.60 of IPS7e ------------------------------------ Students A, B and C are selected randomly from a population. Each of them have probability 0.4 of opposing funding; the corresponding events are denoted A-, B- and C-. The complementary events (denoted A+, B+ and C+) of supporting funding have probability 1-0.4 = 0.6. The events for different students are assumed independent. (a) P(A+ and B+ and C-) = P(A+)*P(B+)*P(C-) = 0.6*0.6*0.4 = 0.144, by the multiplication rule. (b) Possible outcomes and probabilities: P(A+ and B+ and C+) = 0.6*0.6*0.6 = 0.216 P(A- and B+ and C+) = 0.4*0.6*0.6 = 0.144 P(A+ and B- and C+) = 0.6*0.4*0.6 = 0.144 P(A+ and B+ and C-) = 0.6*0.6*0.4 = 0.144 P(A+ and B- and C-) = 0.6*0.4*0.4 = 0.096 P(A- and B+ and C-) = 0.4*0.6*0.4 = 0.096 P(A- and B- and C+) = 0.4*0.4*0.6 = 0.096 P(A- and B- and C-) = 0.4*0.4*0.4 = 0.064 (c) X = number of students opposing funding P(X=0) = P(A+ and B+ and C+) = 0.216 P(X=1) = P(A- and B+ and C+) + P(A+ and B- and C+) + P(A+ and B+ and C-) = 0.144*3 = 0.432 P(X=2) = 0.096*3 = 0.288 P(X=3) = 0.064 X follows a binomial distribution B(3,0.4), because the situation described meets all conditions of a binomial setting. (d) X>=2 expresses that a majority of students oppose funding P(X>=2) = P(X=2) + P(X=3) = 0.352 Note: Because X follows a binomial distribution B(3,0.4), the probabilities of (c) and (d) can also be found in a binomial distribution table (e.g. Table 1 in Stephens, or the table below generated in Minitab). Minitab commands to display the distribution of X: Name c1 "x" Set 'x' 1( 0 : 3 / 1 )1 End. Name c2 "p(x)" PDF 'x' 'p(x)'; Binomial 3 0.4. Print 'x' 'p(x)'. Data Display Row x p(x) 1 0 0.216 2 1 0.432 3 2 0.288 4 3 0.064 DPlot; Distribution; Binomial 3 .4.