Supplementary Exercise 4.78 of IPS7e ------------------------------------ Independence or dependence between random variables in specific settings. (a) Two rainfall amounts at the same location one year apart. Because the weather has mostly short-term dependence, one could reasonably assume these measurements to be independent. They will both reflect the expected weather patterns in November at the particular location, and if compared with totally different weather situations (e.g. in the summer), some similarity would be expected. This is however not what we would usually consider as statistical dependence. (b) Two rainfall amounts on successive days at the same location. As stated above, weather has mostly short-term dependence, and therefore rainfall amounts on two succesive days will show some dependence. Obviously rainfall amounts one hour apart at the same location will show stronger dependence, but the dependence one day apart may still be appreciable (that may depend on local weather patterns). (c) Two rainfall amounts on nearby locations at the same day. These should show even stronger dependence than discussed above for (b). The same weather system could produce rain at both locations.